Written by Rene Bermudez | Edited by Crissinda Ponder | Updated November 14, 2024
Mortgage rate news: Are refinance rates going to drop?
The current mortgage interest rates forecast is for rates to move closer to 6% as 2024 continues. Our senior economist, Jacob Channel, recommends cautious optimism as we head into the fall homebuying season.
Here are the U.S. weekly average rates from the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, as of November 14, 2024:
- 30-year fixed-rate mortgage: 6.78%
- 15-year fixed-rate mortgage: 5.99%
Both 30-year rates and 15-year rates went down by 0.01 percentage points this week, bringing a six-week-long trend of upward movement to an end.
Refinance rates trends this month
The Federal Reserve announced its first rate cut of the year on September 18th, and it’s second on November 7th. 30-year mortgage rates dropped to their lowest point in over two years after the first cut, but it’s looking like the second cut may not have as strong an effect — at least not immediately. So far, concerns about inflation and rising 10-year treasury yields are keeping rates above 6.5%.
There’s no guarantee that we’ll see mortgage rates climb back to their 2024 highs before the year ends, but the chances of that happening are unfortunately now higher than they were just a month or two ago, according to Jacob Channel, LendingTree’s senior economist. If that happens, home affordability will plummet.
The final Federal Reserve meeting of the year is scheduled for December 17th and 18th.
Expert insights on refinance rates this month
Jacob Channel
Senior economist
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“Mortgage refinance rates are likely to climb higher as 10-year treasury yields rise. As long as bond investors remain especially worried that high inflation will once again rear its ugly head, we should expect mortgage refinance rates to climb.”
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How are refinance rates determined?
Refinance rates are based on both factors you can control, like your personal finances, and some you can’t, like the market environment.
To get a lower mortgage refinance rate, you need to get your credit score as high as you can, save for a larger down payment amount, and choose the right type of mortgage loan for you.
Also remember to get offers from three to five lenders before moving forward with a loan offer. This will save you thousands of dollars over time.
Learn more about how to improve your credit score.